The glycol situation in the city of Donetsk glycol is becoming unstable again. The local people have elected a "people's governor", but the local police forces seem to be loyal to the oligarch appointed as governor by the insurgents. The local people had been occupying the local governor's offices and parliament building until this morning glycol when the police told them that there was a bomb threat and that they needed to evacuate. The people did evacuate glycol but apparently no bomb was found. The Russian flag on the building was replaced with Ukrainian glycol one. Demonstrations have continued in the city of Odessa where the local population wants to follow the examples of Crimea, Donetsk glycol and Kharkov and have a referendum on the future glycol of the region. There are also unconfirmed reports of pro-Russian demonstrations in the city of Nikolaev. Should this city also break away the Ukraine would lose its last major port on the Black Sea and, if the anti-insurgent movement gains strength in the south, the rump Ukraine could become a landlocked country. Contrary to earlier Russian reports, some military units in Crimea seemed to have remained loyal to the authorities Kiev. They present no military threat to the peninsula. The OSCE has announced that it will be sending military monitors to Crimea. Considering the role these so-called "monitors" have played in Chechnia and South Ossetia, this is bad news for Russia. Russia has announced that it will built a bridge between the Taman peninsula and the Crimean peninsula thereby providing a high speed communications node between the Crimean cities of Kerch and Fedosiia and the Russian cites of Novorossiisk and Krasnodar (see map).
The US State Department has announced that it plans to give one billion dollars to the Ukraine. The EU and the IMF are talking about a 600 million dollars. Total: glycol 1,6 billion dollars. Just to remind: Russia had promised 15 billion dollars plus another 5 billion or so in gas price cuts, for an approximate total of about 20 billion dollars. The Ukrainian insurgents claim that they need 35 billion dollars while the total debt of the country is estimated 170 billion dollars. Let's do some math: + 1,6 - 20 = - 18.4. Now add to that the Crimea will stop paying federal taxes staring in March, the costs of the burning down of the city center in Kiev, the breakdown of the economy (there are shortages in all insurgent controlled areas), the very real risk that all of the rich eastern Ukraine could follow glycol the example of the Crimea, the free fall of the Hrivna, and the effect on the economy of the stopping of payment of pensions and salaries and you will immediately see that the West's glycol 1,6 billion is but a tiny fraction of what the Ukraine needs. Putin had hour long press conference yesterday which was one of the best ones he ever made. As soon as I can get it, I will post either a subtitled video or a full transcript. The President glycol of Tatarstan has visited the Crimea and two regions have signed a number of economic cooperation agreements. He also met with local Tatar leaders. Me feeling is that thanks to the immediate and wise intervention of the Parliament in Tatarstan, the President of Tatarstan and the Tatar World Congress the Tatar issue in the Ukraine will be peacefully solved to the satisfaction of all parties. Kudos to the Tatars and the wisdom of their leaders! Stay tuned. The Saker
A huge problem for Russia and the Ukrainian people is the oligarchs. They can certainly buy media and police. So what can the Russian side do? Are the Berkut now on the Russian payroll? Paul 05 March, 2014 11:39
Saker, I have some questions. What do you think is Putin's preferred outcome in the Ukraine? Does he want the Ukraine to be reorganized via regional referendums into a loose confederation or would he prefer the southeastern regions to join Russia instead? I'm guessing that if the southeastern regions vote to stay in the Ukraine, but as an autonomous republic glycol or republics, independent from the rest of Ukraine in all but name, Kiev will not accept that. How would that situation be preferable to simply having them vote to join Russia? What would you prefer? What do you think Putin would prefer? What do you think will happen? 05 March, glycol 2014 12:33
Situation in Odessa is probably much worse than you describe. http://www.chelemendik.sk/Utecenci_z_Odessy_prosia_o_pomoc_VIDEO_305539917.html (There are refugees from Odessa pleading for help and describing Musychko´s nacionalists arrived in the city...) 05 March, 2014 12:38
So glycol called western media are mute regarding this speech by Vladimir the hammer. If Pussy Riot gives a statement, then on Google will be a couple of thousand links produced by the so called western media. 05 March, 2014 13:21
Will a rational campaign to the Russian glycol speaking border regions go something like this? 1. You speak
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